Saint Louis
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
496  Michael Scolarici SR 32:50
502  Tim Zellmer SR 32:51
682  Neal Fitzpatrick SO 33:09
1,298  Hiob Gebisso FR 34:03
1,508  Henry Arndt SR 34:19
2,376  Jeff Orf JR 35:41
2,456  Henry Hostettler FR 35:53
2,474  Chad Maxwell SO 35:55
2,628  Andrew Sloan SO 36:16
2,751  Pat Sheil JR 36:39
2,894  Albert Marban JR 37:11
National Rank #115 of 311
Midwest Region Rank #18 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 18th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 88.8%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Michael Scolarici Tim Zellmer Neal Fitzpatrick Hiob Gebisso Henry Arndt Jeff Orf Henry Hostettler Chad Maxwell Andrew Sloan Pat Sheil Albert Marban
Notre Dame Invitational (Gold) 10/03 1081 32:53 32:45 32:54 34:10 34:52 36:09 35:29 35:23
Bradley Pink Classic (Red) 10/17 1089 32:49 32:49 33:15 33:45 34:40 35:34 36:10 36:17 37:02 37:10
Atlantic 10 Championships 11/01 1092 32:50 32:50 33:40 33:42 33:53 35:26 35:51 36:05 36:12 36:14
Midwest Region Championships 11/14 1080 32:46 33:00 32:51 34:49 33:49 36:23





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 18.0 508 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.3 6.4 10.8 16.1 18.7 18.3 13.1 6.1 3.0 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Scolarici 61.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2
Tim Zellmer 62.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2
Neal Fitzpatrick 82.2
Hiob Gebisso 136.7
Henry Arndt 150.8
Jeff Orf 203.9
Henry Hostettler 207.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 0.0% 0.0 10
11 0.1% 0.1 11
12 0.5% 0.5 12
13 1.4% 1.4 13
14 3.3% 3.3 14
15 6.4% 6.4 15
16 10.8% 10.8 16
17 16.1% 16.1 17
18 18.7% 18.7 18
19 18.3% 18.3 19
20 13.1% 13.1 20
21 6.1% 6.1 21
22 3.0% 3.0 22
23 1.5% 1.5 23
24 0.4% 0.4 24
25 0.1% 0.1 25
26 0.0% 0.0 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0